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Are We There Yet? – Update for the NQ March 7,2021

So far in the month of March, the volatility in the YM, ES, NQ, and RTY as measured by the VIX remains around the 25 level. After the markets hit additional record highs in February leaving the return of most average diversified U.S. stock funds for February at 4.9% which in turn pushed the year-to-date […]

Has the Bubble Burst?

It is not uncommon to move past a “bubble” bursting and not realizing it. Denial plays a big part in the recognition of such a phenomena. While I admit the speculation can grow extremely strong as pundits try to claim their 15 minutes of fame by making bold statements of impending doom only to get […]

Happy New Year…Are We There Yet?

The first trading day of 2016 produced an awesome volatile day with many “decoupling’s” taking place. The finish of one year and the start of the new year often produce numerous “decouplings” as money begins to shift strategy. China got things going coming into Monday morning with the major equity exchanges shutting down after dropping […]

Black Monday, October 19, 1987

Getting Back in the Habit I believe the best way to induct myself back into the creative habit of writing my market thoughts in a somewhat narrative format is to actually put down what I experienced during the day and how I dealt with it – trading wise. While I have experience trading many different […]

NASDAQ – 100 Pushes Above 4400 Are We There Yet? – Part II Thursday’s Chart – $NDX

Thanks to Priceline’s earnings announcement basically being interpreted as “blowing the doors off” the price of the stock jumped by $100, which equates to about 9%. Now that may not seem like much since PCLN was trading at 1122 just prior to the announcement, but in my humble opinion it was further evidence of the […]

New Highs Arrive – Where is all the Fanfare? Wednesday’s Chart – Updated Elliott Wave Count -Monthly $DJIA

Did I miss something? I don’t remember hearing any shouts of joy or any applause when the S&P moved to new all times. Nor did I hear any shouts or applause when the NASDAQ-100 pushed to new 15 year highs or when the Russell 2000 finally and I mean finally moved up to a new […]

A Welcomed Return of Volatility & 2-Way Trade, Chart – $CL_F

Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends We’re so glad you could attend Come inside! Come inside! © 1973 Emerson Lake & Palmer One of my resolutions for the New Year is to return to posting on a more regular basis than how I finished 2014. My apologies for the […]

Logical Market Update: From That to This & This…

From that to this & this… For most of this week the best trading has taken place within the first couple of hours of U.S. trading. But it appears that once lunchtime rolls through the East and Central time zones volume does a vanishing act. Which often leaves computers with nothing to do but switch […]

Logical Market Update: Day Two – Bulls Attempt to Stage a Comeback

Day Two and the Bulls Attempt to Stage a Comeback – Gold Stocks Back on the Radar – Time to Begin Buying? The markets followed through on Tuesday’s selling finishing what I’m considering the initial (first) leg down. Interestingly though, when the bulls moved in to stage their comeback, the volatility indexes were first on […]

Logical Market Update: First Down Day – The Beginning or Buying Opportunity?

First Down Day For Equities – Just the Beginning or Buying Opportunity? After Monday’s big disappointment courtesy of a very tight inside day, Tuesday’s trading action brought some welcomed relief. The optimal word is some. Refreshing is a word I heard used – It was like a fresh cool drink in the desert another contrarian […]

Logical Market Update: Never Short a Dull Market – or….

Never Short a Dull Market or What Happens When You Host a Party and Nobody Comes – the Volatility Indexes Have you ever gone to highly anticipated event and wished you were anywhere else? That is what the markets were like on Monday. Stuck in neutral with nobody left to push prices in either direction. […]

Logical Market Update: Morgan Stanley’s Selling What? NYSE Margin Debt & S&P 500 All Time Highs

Second Verse Same As the First: Morgan Stanley Pushing Non-Prime Fund to European Investors – NYSE Margin Debt and S&P 500 All Time Highs To say that people learn from their mistakes is a fabrication. Seems that several of the TBTF banks have decided to repackage their sub-prime mortgages and ship them off to Europe […]

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