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S&P 500 / Elliott Wave Update 4/13/2022 by Michael Filighera

Wednesday’s PPI number came in at 9.5% inflation, which initially produced a somewhat negative reaction from the markets that ended up producing a more bullish reaction once the US opened.  I have adjusted the labeling because the subdivisions become to many with the today’s trade beginning to show the potential for a sub sub minute degree, which for me would be too much.  So, the change is that I have moved the initial Minor wave one down to Monday’s low at 4382 with Tuesday’s and today’s trading being waves a and b of Minor wave 2 and wave c still in progress.  It doesn’t really change the intensity of the decline or the depth.  Initial Fibonacci extensions continue to suggest that the larger Intermediate wave 3 should find support to complete below 3480 area.  Tomorrow is the monthly expiration for April options since Friday is a holiday with the US markets closed. I’m feeling then that today’s bullishness is most likely connected to Thursday’s expiration cycle.  For Thursday I would expect wave “C” of Minor 2 to continue higher likely reaching the hourly 200 MA currently at 4470.  Ultimately, once finished the Minor wave 3 decline should kick in and again begin to drive the ES lower with an increase in acceleration.

 


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