July 17, 2022

NASDAQ 100 / Elliott Wave Update 7/17/2022 by Michael Filighera

Friday’s trade and expiration fell into the expected pattern and moves with all the indexes finishing strongly higher.  In the NQ it is not clear yet as to whether the triangle pattern is complete or extending within.  I’m giving the benefit of the doubt to the Minor wave 4 correction still being in progress and within it likely still within wave C.  If this is the case, the buyers will remain in control for another 1oo to 200 points.

For Monday, allow for a continued rally to carry the NQ closer to 12200 before wave C is complete.  Still expected then will be a “D” wave decline and an “E” wave advance – all taking place within the triangle channel lines in place now.  Once the triangle is complete the expectations remain for a thrust out of the triangle to the downside as Minor wave 4 completes and Minor wave 5 takes over.

Should the NQ miss the upside market and break down from current levels which are 12059 as I write this, then expectations would be for a “thrust” like start to be in play, with the moving averages being broken quickly on the hourly chart.  Support and resistance levels are given in the update.