June 15, 2022

NASDAQ 100 / Elliott Wave Update 6/15/2022 by Michael Filighera

Wednesday’s trade was tricky at times but overall, the NQ along with the other markets performed fairly close to expectations and thoughts I included in last night’s update.  Initially the NQ did slide lower reaching 11371 before again turning higher.  Once Powell began the news conference the NQ along with the other markets began to see some stronger buyers move in and as Powell continued so did the buying.  The NQ reached a high at 11794 before catching a stronger downdraft which ultimately trimmed about 200 points off the rally.

For tomorrow I am continuing to allow for additional upside to complete what remains best viewed as a minute 4th wave correction.  Fibonacci resistance comes in at 11850 with the hourly 200 MA above at 11989.  A break above that level would begin to negate further downside for now and suggest a move back above 12000 was in the works.  Downside from here is also a strong possibility and should the NQ break below the hourly 50 and the hourly 20 MA’s it would give support to today’s high being the completion point for the wave 4 correction with minute wave 5 then being in force.  Downside support for minute wave 5 remains at 11093, 10647, 10320, 10013, and then 9204.