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The San Francisco Bubble Indicator

The broader markets have risen parabolically since reaching their respective lows on October 15th. Basis the futures the DJIA (YM) has climbed 1586 points or 9.2%, the SPX (ES) 206.25 points or 10%, and the NDX (NQ) 489.75 points or 11.5%. The moves themselves were made within 12 trading days with the DJIA and SPX […]

Forward Guidance, Asymmetric Information and Ms. Yellen

According to the FED the easiest and most important aspect of its program to ease ‘fear’ in the markets is its communication policy, which is often called “forward guidance.” This consists of the FOMC minutes, which are made public and from where the board lays out, and reiterates policy complete with a timeline for implementation […]

Has the Correction Started?

Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends We’re so glad you could attend Come inside! Come inside! © 1973 Greg Lake & Carl Palmer Trading over the holiday weekend in the broader indexes basically kept the rally going with the NQ and ES hitting new highs. So coming in on Tuesday morning […]

Reality Check! – Who’s Right – Who’s Wrong?

Ok, I agree it has got to be tough to be overpaid, way overpaid, to produce daily babble as to why the markets are going through this gyration or that gyration. As if a need for a specific story to explain what is driving the elusive investor to make their move in either direction on […]

Poor Excuse of a Rally & Worst Selloff Ever Seen

It is Friday the end of a holiday shortened week, the last May expiration, and another notch in the string of new all time highs for the SPX. Shrinking volumes left trade choices limited leaving it being “A not much to trade type of day.” For me it brought back a flood of memories of […]

The Hangover Part VI – $AMZN, $GOOG Report Earnings Thursday’s Charts $NDX, $RUT

I find it interesting that there are market situations that still leave me dumbfounded and if you know me I’m rarely left without something to say. On Thursday Amazon and Google reported earnings. Both had a somewhat mixed to muted reaction as the bid/ask spreads widened leaving many traders on the sidelines unwilling to step […]

Logical Market Update: Interest Rate War Underway Since 2009 – Cost is Trillions of $’s

Don’t be Fooled – An Interest Rate War has been underway since 2009 – Cost is $Trillions – Is the Tail Wagging the Dog? Who is in Control Here? In a nutshell – The downward correction in treasury prices and its inverse the rise in yields (interest Rate) is far from over. It is […]

Logical Market Update: Ignorance is Bliss or From Blissful Ignorance to Obsessive Distrust

Ignorance is Bliss or From Blissful Ignorance to Obsessive Distrust Webster’s defines blissful as “happy because unaware” and ignorance as “lack of knowledge – unawareness.” So is it fair to say that “Ignorance is Bliss” could be thought of “How it is often better not to know about something unpleasant – no matter what […]